One of the marquee games of the 2026 NFL Playoffs arrives on Sunday, January 11, 2026, when the Buffalo Bills (12–5) travel to EverBank Stadium to face the Jacksonville Jaguars (13–4) in an AFC Wild Card showdown.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET. The game will be televised nationally as part of the NFL Wild Card slate, with live streaming available through the platforms carrying playoff coverage this weekend.
Despite Jacksonville’s strong home-field advantage and late-season surge, Buffalo enters as a slight road favorite, creating a tight betting market and heavy interest from both fans and bettors.
AFC Wild Card NFL Bills vs. Jaguars: Betting Info
| Date & Time: | Sunday, January 11, 2026, 1 p.m. ET |
| Location: | EverBank Stadium. |
| TV/Streaming | National network broadcast (check local listings)/Services carrying NFL playoff games (market-dependent) |
| International: | NFL Game Pass or regional broadcasters |
| Where to Bet | Virtually all major U.S. sportsbooks list markets for this game, including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and others. You’ll find standard pregame markets like spread, moneyline, total (over/under), as well as player props (passing yards, rushing yards, touchdowns, receptions), team props, and same-game parlays. |
Bills vs. Jaguars Odds
| Team | SP/RL | TOTAL | ML |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | -1 ( -105 ) | 51½ ( -110 ) | -110 |
| Jaguars | +1 ( -115 ) | 51½ ( -110 ) | -110 |
Fans in Jacksonville and Buffalo should verify local broadcast partners and blackout policies to ensure access.
Current Betting Odds (Market Snapshot)
Approximate consensus pricing:
- Spread: Bills –1.5 (some books list Bills –1)
- Moneyline: Bills –108 | Jaguars –106
- Total (O/U): ~52.5 points
A near pick ’em spread on the road signals how evenly oddsmakers view this matchup. The high total suggests expectations of an offensively active game, even by playoff standards.
Season & Statistical Context
Buffalo Bills
- Record: 12–5
- Offense: Top-tier scoring unit
- Rushing: NFL-best (~159.6 yards per game)
Buffalo’s success is built on balance. Josh Allen remains one of the league’s most versatile quarterbacks, pairing elite arm talent with rushing ability. James Cook anchors a rushing attack that led the NFL in yards per game.
Even with Allen limited in Week 18, the Bills demonstrated offensive depth in a 35–8 win that secured their playoff seeding.
Defensively, Buffalo has been solid overall, especially in the secondary, but injuries have tested depth. Cornerback Maxwell Hairston is unlikely to play, and several defenders are listed with limited practice participation—factors that may affect coverage rotations.
Jacksonville Jaguars
- Record: 13–4 (AFC South champions)
- Streak: Eight consecutive wins entering the postseason
Jacksonville surged late, closing the season as one of the league’s most consistent teams. Trevor Lawrence has been sharp, and the Jaguars boast an elite run defense, allowing fewer than 86 rushing yards per game.
At home, Jacksonville has been particularly strong both straight up and against the spread, making EverBank Stadium a meaningful advantage. Momentum and confidence are clearly on their side heading into January.
Matchup Analysis
Strength-on-Strength Battle
This game pits the NFL’s top rushing offense against one of the league’s best run defenses:
- Bills rushing offense: ~159.6 yards per game
- Jaguars run defense: < 86 yards allowed per game
If Jacksonville can limit Buffalo on early downs and force longer passing situations, they can disrupt the Bills’ tempo. That said, Buffalo’s offense is not one-dimensional—Josh Allen’s passing and scrambling ability ensure constant pressure on opposing defenses.
Jacksonville’s offense, led by Lawrence and Travis Etienne Jr., is capable of explosive plays, and their defense has shown an ability to force turnovers and limit deep passing, especially at home.
Historical & Situational Factors
Jacksonville has performed well at home against Buffalo historically
- ATS Records:
- Jaguars: 12–5 ATS
- Bills: 8–9 ATS.
Buffalo’s seven consecutive postseason appearances bring valuable playoff experience, while Jacksonville’s late-season momentum suggests a team peaking at the right time.
Injury Considerations
With such a narrow spread, injuries loom large. Buffalo’s secondary depth is a concern, particularly if late-week absences emerge. Jacksonville has some players listed as limited, but no major projected losses dominate the injury report.
Always recheck official injury reports close to kickoff—late scratches can swing both spreads and totals.
Bills vs. Jaguars Betting Angles & Prop Ideas
Spread:
- Bills –1 / –1.5: Trusts Buffalo’s playoff experience and multi-dimensional offense
- Jaguars +1.5: Home underdog value with strong ATS trends and defensive edge
Total (52–52.5)
- Over: If both offenses remain aggressive and drives sustain
- Under: If Jacksonville grinds early and playoff defenses tighten late
Player Props
- Dalton Kincaid Over Receiving Yards: Consistent usage and matchup-friendly
- Travis Etienne Jr. Over Rushing Yards: Correlates with Jacksonville controlling tempo
- Trevor Lawrence Anytime TD: Viable red-zone script option
Picks & Betting Strategy
- Primary Pick: Jaguars +1.5
- Alternate Spread: Bills –1
- Total: Lean Over 52.5 (with a viable Under case depending on game script)
- Props: Kincaid Over Receiving Yards; Etienne Over Rushing Yards
- Moneyline: Jaguars + for home-dog value; Bills ML for experience-driven bettors
Given the closeness of this matchup, splitting exposure or diversifying across spreads, totals, and props is a prudent approach.
Final Word
Bills vs. Jaguars is playoff football at its best: tight odds, contrasting strengths, and no obvious favorite. Buffalo brings elite rushing and postseason experience; Jacksonville counters with home-field advantage, defensive dominance, and an offense hitting its stride.
With margins this thin, small edges—injuries, turnovers, and early-down efficiency—are likely to decide the outcome. Bet thoughtfully, stay disciplined, and enjoy one of the most compelling games of the Wild Card weekend.
